Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | β |
| Margin | 10.2% | 89.8% | +11.9 | β (23.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | β |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +35 (119-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 33 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Dillon Brooks * | 32 | 6-22 | 3-10 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 3 | - |
| Jalen Green * | 31 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Oso Ighodaro * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Goodwin * | 4 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Ryan Dunn | 24 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Collin Gillespie | 23 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Royce O'Neale | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Khaman Maluach | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Haywood Highsmith | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jamaree Bouyea | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Rasheer Fleming | 7 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Amir Coffey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 29 | 5-18 | 0-4 | 15-17 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Jalen Williams * | 29 | 9-15 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 24 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 23 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell | 21 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Cason Wallace | 20 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 20 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 9 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jared McCain | 8 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Nikola TopiΔ | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter