Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.0% | 26.0% | -5.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -13 (96-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chet Holmgren * | 32 | 10-20 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 30 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 29 | 13-19 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 26 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell | 30 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 21 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Branden Carlson | 16 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 30 | 6-16 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Collin Sexton * | 29 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Kon Knueppel * | 27 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Sion James * | 26 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Moussa Diabaté | 23 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Tre Mann | 20 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | - |
| KJ Simpson | 18 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Antonio Reeves | 17 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Pat Connaughton | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Mason Plumlee | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter