Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.7% | 89.3% | +11.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +18 (108-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 36 | 12-17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Rui Hachimura * | 36 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Austin Reaves * | 35 | 3-16 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 31 | 4-15 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 28 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jake LaRavia | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Adou Thiero | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bronny James | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 30 | 9-17 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell * | 27 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 27 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 20 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Cason Wallace | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jared McCain | 14 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 11 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter