Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.8% | 85.2% | +9.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +8 (121-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 35 | 9-19 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| James Harden * | 33 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 25 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Dean Wade * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Sam Merrill | 28 | 7-12 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 23 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 22 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson | 15 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luguentz Dort * | 35 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 34 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 6-9 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 33 | 7-17 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Isaiah Joe * | 30 | 6-13 | 6-11 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 25 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 22 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 18 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 16 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jared McCain | 15 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Nikola Topić | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter