Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.2% | 89.8% | +11.9 | ✓ (37.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +49 (138-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royce O'Neale * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Dillon Brooks * | 26 | 4-16 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Collin Gillespie * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Grayson Allen * | 21 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Jamaree Bouyea | 28 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Oso Ighodaro | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Goodwin | 18 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Dunn | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Nigel Hayes-Davis | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Khaman Maluach | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Rasheer Fleming | 9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Nick Richards | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 26 | 11-15 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 22 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 24 | 9-13 | 4-4 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Jalen Williams * | 22 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 21 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 18 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 21 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 17 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng | 12 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Branden Carlson | 12 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Chris Youngblood | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter