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2025-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 60.2% 39.8% -
Bradley-Terry 68.7% 31.3% -
Margin 76.7% 23.3% -6.6 (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 55.0% 45.0% -
Efficiency 71.4% 28.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.9% 31.1% -
Log Adjusted 68.9% 31.1% -
Points Off/Def 59.0% 41.0% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +5 (112-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 37 12-26 3-7 8-8 5 7 2 2 3 35 22 -
Jalen Williams * 31 6-16 2-4 3-4 7 2 2 1 4 17 9 -
Luguentz Dort * 28 3-12 3-10 2-2 4 2 0 1 1 11 5 -
Isaiah Hartenstein * 27 0-2 0-0 1-2 10 0 0 1 2 1 8 -
Chet Holmgren * 24 4-9 0-2 6-6 5 0 0 2 0 14 12 -
Cason Wallace 26 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 0 3 0 1 2 3 -
Alex Caruso 22 2-7 1-6 2-2 12 1 0 2 0 7 15 -
Ajay Mitchell 22 5-10 0-2 4-4 2 2 0 0 0 14 8 -
Isaiah Joe 12 2-5 2-5 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 6 8 -
Kenrich Williams 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 40 9-20 3-6 5-6 12 3 3 2 3 26 23 -
Jaden McDaniels * 37 4-13 1-6 4-4 4 2 0 0 2 13 4 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 33 5-12 4-10 1-3 4 1 0 0 1 15 7 -
Rudy Gobert * 33 3-7 0-0 3-7 14 1 0 0 2 9 15 -
Julius Randle * 32 3-15 1-4 12-16 8 5 0 0 2 19 15 -
Naz Reid 30 5-10 0-4 5-7 6 2 3 2 1 15 17 -
Bones Hyland 15 4-7 4-6 1-2 3 3 2 1 1 13 14 -
Rob Dillingham 12 0-4 0-1 0-0 6 3 0 1 1 0 5 -
Terrence Shannon Jr. 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter