Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.2% | 89.8% | +11.9 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +4 (123-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 38 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 9-11 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Dillon Brooks * | 38 | 6-18 | 2-9 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Collin Gillespie * | 33 | 9-16 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Royce O'Neale * | 28 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Jordan Goodwin | 25 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Oso Ighodaro | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Jamaree Bouyea | 14 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Nigel Hayes-Davis | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nick Richards | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 10-20 | 3-5 | 14-17 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 28 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 32 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 32 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Jalen Williams * | 29 | 3-12 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 23 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 21 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter