Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 78.5% | 21.5% | -7.1 | β (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | β |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -9 (107-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cason Wallace * | 35 | 11-16 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 25 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 34 | 5-16 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Joe * | 32 | 7-14 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 22 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 16 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -4 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jared McCain | 10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Nikola TopiΔ | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 35 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 33 | 8-15 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 32 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Scottie Barnes * | 31 | 7-17 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles * | 30 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 23 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 22 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 15 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jamison Battle | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter