Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 82.1% | 17.9% | -8.4 | ✗ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +3 (108-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 8-22 | 1-5 | 8-9 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Williams * | 34 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 32 | 8-11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 26 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell | 27 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Branden Carlson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 38 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 13-15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 27 | - |
| Dillon Brooks * | 33 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 6 | - |
| Royce O'Neale * | 31 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Collin Gillespie * | 25 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Goodwin | 30 | 9-16 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Oso Ighodaro | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Dunn | 20 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jamaree Bouyea | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Livers | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter