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2026-04-08

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 70.7% 29.3% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 66.4% 33.6% - βœ“
Margin 81.4% 18.6% -8.1 βœ“ (27.9 off)
Pythagorean 57.3% 42.7% - βœ“
Efficiency 81.2% 18.8% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 80.1% 19.9% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 80.2% 19.8% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 68.7% 31.3% - βœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -36 (87-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 28 10-15 2-2 3-3 1 8 2 0 3 25 18 -
Luguentz Dort * 22 3-6 2-5 0-0 1 2 4 0 1 8 8 -
Chet Holmgren * 22 6-10 1-3 2-3 10 0 2 2 2 15 17 -
Ajay Mitchell * 21 3-9 1-3 2-2 3 3 1 0 0 9 7 -
Isaiah Hartenstein * 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 0 6 -
Cason Wallace 22 1-4 1-2 2-2 2 3 3 0 0 5 9 -
Aaron Wiggins 19 4-7 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 10 5 -
Isaiah Joe 18 6-9 6-9 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 18 10 -
Jared McCain 15 5-8 3-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 15 9 -
Jaylin Williams 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 0 0 8 -
Kenrich Williams 12 1-7 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Alex Caruso 10 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 6 4 -
Nikola Topić 9 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 0 1 -
Branden Carlson 7 3-4 1-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 8 7 -
Brooks Barnhizer 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Drew Timme * 26 4-9 2-4 1-2 3 2 0 0 3 11 4 -
Rui Hachimura * 25 7-10 1-1 0-3 5 1 0 1 2 15 10 -
Luke Kennard * 23 4-7 0-2 2-3 2 9 1 0 0 10 15 -
Deandre Ayton * 22 1-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 3 2 -
Jake LaRavia * 19 1-7 0-4 0-2 7 1 2 1 2 2 4 -
Bronny James 22 2-9 0-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 4 -1 -
Adou Thiero 20 2-4 1-2 5-10 4 2 1 0 2 10 11 -
Dalton Knecht 18 2-6 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 5 0 -
Kobe Bufkin 18 2-6 2-2 3-4 3 4 0 0 1 9 9 -
Maxi Kleber 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Chris MaΓ±on 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
Nick Smith Jr. 12 4-6 1-2 2-2 0 2 0 0 0 11 7 -
Jarred Vanderbilt 4 1-1 1-1 0-3 2 1 1 0 1 3 5 -

* = starter