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2026-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 11.2% 88.8% -
Bradley-Terry 18.6% 81.4% -
Margin 12.5% 87.5% +10.7 (12.7 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% -
Efficiency 17.8% 82.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.9% 81.1% -
Log Adjusted 18.9% 81.1% -
Points Off/Def 24.2% 75.8% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -2 (101-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 35 5-18 0-3 3-4 5 4 0 2 1 13 5 -
Scottie Barnes * 31 3-8 0-2 4-4 11 8 1 3 2 10 23 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili * 31 3-8 0-2 4-8 5 3 1 1 1 10 11 -
Immanuel Quickley * 31 7-14 6-10 3-4 11 2 2 0 1 23 23 -
RJ Barrett * 21 6-12 2-3 0-0 6 2 2 0 2 14 10 -
Ja'Kobe Walter 27 3-8 1-6 2-2 3 2 3 0 1 9 8 -
Jamal Shead 24 4-9 1-5 0-2 4 5 1 0 1 9 9 -
Gradey Dick 20 4-7 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 10 6 -
Ochai Agbaji 14 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 5 6 -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luguentz Dort * 35 6-10 4-8 3-5 8 2 2 0 1 19 20 -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 35 8-11 0-1 8-10 3 6 1 2 2 24 23 -
Chet Holmgren * 29 5-10 0-3 1-2 10 0 0 0 2 11 9 -
Jaylin Williams * 21 2-7 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 5 4 -
Cason Wallace * 15 1-3 0-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
Aaron Wiggins 29 3-10 2-9 3-4 3 4 0 2 3 11 7 -
Kenrich Williams 28 4-11 1-7 6-6 5 1 0 0 1 15 9 -
Isaiah Joe 22 3-9 2-7 2-2 1 2 1 0 0 10 5 -
Ousmane Dieng 20 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 3 6 -
Brooks Barnhizer 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter