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2026-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 13.3% 86.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 17.2% 82.8% - ✓
Margin 9.7% 90.3% +12.3 ✓ (23.7 off)
Pythagorean 35.8% 64.2% - ✓
Efficiency 15.6% 84.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 20.2% 79.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 20.2% 79.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 25.2% 74.8% - ✓

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +36 (128-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 32 6-17 1-4 4-4 3 4 0 0 2 17 5 -
Anthony Black * 28 5-16 0-6 0-0 6 3 1 2 2 10 4 -
Jalen Suggs * 24 7-11 4-8 2-2 3 6 1 0 3 20 16 -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 23 3-7 1-3 2-2 7 2 1 0 1 9 11 -
Desmond Bane * 21 3-7 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 2 2 7 5 -
Tristan da Silva 25 1-7 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 3 -1 -
Noah Penda 24 4-11 2-7 1-1 5 2 0 0 2 11 5 -
Jonathan Isaac 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Moritz Wagner 13 2-3 2-2 2-2 5 0 1 0 1 8 10 -
Jett Howard 13 3-4 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 7 4 -
Jase Richardson 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Tyus Jones 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luguentz Dort * 30 6-8 4-5 2-2 5 1 2 0 0 18 18 -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 27 8-22 1-3 3-4 5 9 2 0 3 20 11 -
Chet Holmgren * 27 7-12 0-4 2-4 10 1 0 0 0 16 15 -
Isaiah Hartenstein * 22 4-6 0-1 4-5 10 10 0 1 2 12 25 -
Cason Wallace * 22 2-7 0-3 1-1 1 5 4 0 0 5 8 -
Isaiah Joe 23 8-12 5-8 1-1 0 0 1 0 0 22 11 -
Aaron Wiggins 18 3-4 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 9 7 -
Alex Caruso 18 2-4 0-2 2-2 0 3 1 0 1 6 5 -
Kenrich Williams 17 4-5 1-1 2-2 7 1 1 0 0 11 15 -
Jaylin Williams 17 2-5 0-2 1-3 9 2 0 0 1 5 10 -
Ousmane Dieng 6 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Chris Youngblood 6 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 -1 -

* = starter