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2026-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 54.0% 46.0% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% - ✗
Margin 55.2% 44.8% -1.2 ✗ (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% - ✓
Efficiency 64.9% 35.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 63.6% 36.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 63.6% 36.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 55.1% 44.9% - ✗

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +10 (116-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylin Williams * 39 6-15 4-11 8-8 12 4 0 2 2 24 25 -
Aaron Wiggins * 37 7-14 4-7 2-2 4 6 5 0 3 20 18 -
Isaiah Joe * 37 1-7 0-3 0-0 5 2 1 2 1 2 4 -
Kenrich Williams * 35 9-18 4-7 3-4 9 2 1 0 3 25 16 -
Cason Wallace * 34 6-16 1-5 0-0 3 5 3 1 3 13 6 -
Brooks Barnhizer 20 5-15 4-9 0-0 3 5 0 0 2 14 5 -
Chris Youngblood 19 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 2 0 5 6 -
Branden Carlson 15 1-2 1-1 0-0 7 0 0 2 0 3 10 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 33 5-10 0-3 5-6 4 10 3 1 1 15 22 -
Victor Wembanyama * 28 9-16 1-2 3-8 14 2 0 2 2 22 22 -
Julian Champagnie * 27 3-6 2-5 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 8 8 -
Stephon Castle * 26 6-14 0-3 2-2 3 4 3 2 3 14 9 -
Devin Vassell * 25 2-10 1-7 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 5 -2 -
Harrison Barnes 29 3-9 2-7 1-2 7 1 0 2 2 9 8 -
Keldon Johnson 28 10-17 4-8 1-2 6 2 0 1 0 25 17 -
Luke Kornet 15 2-7 0-0 0-0 15 2 1 0 0 4 15 -
Carter Bryant 13 4-9 3-6 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 11 9 -
Jordan McLaughlin 12 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter