Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 62.8% | 37.2% | -2.9 | β (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | β |
Actual: Boston Celtics +10 (119-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 10-12 | 3-4 | 10-12 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 31 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Williams * | 23 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 21 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell | 25 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Cason Wallace | 24 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 21 | 3-11 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jared McCain | 12 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 38 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 12-14 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 27 | - |
| Jayson Tatum * | 35 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 25 | - |
| Derrick White * | 33 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Neemias Queta * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Sam Hauser * | 28 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Payton Pritchard | 32 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Baylor Scheierman | 19 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Luka Garza | 11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Hugo GonzΓ‘lez | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter