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2026-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 68.6% 31.4% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 67.2% 32.8% - βœ—
Margin 62.8% 37.2% -2.9 βœ— (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% - βœ—
Efficiency 59.7% 40.3% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 59.1% 40.9% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 59.1% 40.9% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 51.7% 48.3% - βœ—

Actual: Boston Celtics +10 (119-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 36 10-12 3-4 10-12 2 8 2 0 2 33 31 -
Chet Holmgren * 25 3-7 1-2 3-4 5 0 0 0 1 10 7 -
Jalen Williams * 23 2-9 0-3 3-4 3 3 0 0 0 7 4 -
Isaiah Hartenstein * 22 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 2 3 0 0 6 10 -
Luguentz Dort * 21 5-9 4-6 0-0 5 0 0 1 3 14 8 -
Ajay Mitchell 25 4-9 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 8 4 -
Cason Wallace 24 2-5 1-4 2-2 4 0 1 1 0 7 8 -
Alex Caruso 21 3-11 1-8 2-2 4 2 1 0 0 9 5 -
Jaylin Williams 13 1-2 1-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Jared McCain 12 3-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
Isaiah Joe 12 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 38 9-17 1-3 12-14 8 8 2 0 5 31 27 -
Jayson Tatum * 35 5-12 3-6 6-6 12 7 3 1 5 19 25 -
Derrick White * 33 3-11 2-7 4-4 2 6 0 0 1 12 8 -
Neemias Queta * 29 5-7 0-0 3-4 5 2 0 2 0 13 15 -
Sam Hauser * 28 3-9 3-8 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 9 5 -
Payton Pritchard 32 5-11 4-6 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 14 6 -
Baylor Scheierman 19 4-8 3-7 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 11 9 -
Luka Garza 11 3-4 1-2 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 7 4 -
Hugo GonzΓ‘lez 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter