Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 91.9% | 8.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 96.0% | 4.0% | -17.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -6 (135-141). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 45 | 15-31 | 2-7 | 23-26 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 55 | 38 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 43 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 38 | 4-12 | 0-6 | 7-8 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 36 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 35 | 7-14 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell | 38 | 9-19 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 14 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Chris Youngblood | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Branden Carlson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 45 | 9-19 | 3-8 | 15-17 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 25 | - |
| Pascal Siakam * | 44 | 12-25 | 3-6 | 5-12 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 26 | - |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 26 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 16 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Isaiah Jackson * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Obi Toppin | 39 | 8-18 | 0-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Ben Sheppard | 39 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Jarace Walker | 30 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Taelon Peter | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jay Huff | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Johnny Furphy | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter