Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.0% | 25.0% | -6.0 | ✓ (26.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -32 (104-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luguentz Dort * | 33 | 6-7 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 33 | 12-20 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 17 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 31 | 11-16 | 4-5 | 2-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 30 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Jaylin Williams * | 7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 24 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 20 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Cason Wallace | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 7 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng | 4 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Chris Youngblood | 2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 35 | 5-18 | 1-9 | 8-11 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson * | 32 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 31 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Dean Wade * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 26 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| De'Andre Hunter | 25 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 21 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Tyrese Proctor | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Lonzo Ball | 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter