Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 98.1% | 1.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.5% | 5.5% | -15.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -14 (100-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 11-22 | 3-9 | 10-11 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 27 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 34 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell * | 31 | 8-15 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 30 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 30 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 21 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 20 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 16 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Chris Youngblood | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 33 | 3-18 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 28 | 6-16 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Jock Landale * | 27 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 23 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jaylen Wells * | 22 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Santi Aldama | 29 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Cedric Coward | 28 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Cam Spencer | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| John Konchar | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| GG Jackson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| PJ Hall | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter