Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 86.5% | 13.5% | -10.2 | ✗ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +2 (121-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 37 | 10-26 | 3-5 | 12-13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 22 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 36 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell * | 31 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 31 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 27 | 10-19 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 25 | 4-12 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 20 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Branden Carlson | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toumani Camara * | 37 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Deni Avdija * | 36 | 5-17 | 1-5 | 15-16 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 28 | - |
| Jrue Holiday * | 34 | 7-16 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Donovan Clingan * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Shaedon Sharpe * | 22 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Jerami Grant | 33 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Duop Reath | 20 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Kris Murray | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sidy Cissoko | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Robert Williams III | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter