Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | +3.1 | ✗ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -9 (108-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 39 | 9-19 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Rudy Gobert * | 37 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 20 | - |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 35 | 5-10 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 32 | 9-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Julius Randle * | 32 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Naz Reid | 26 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Bones Hyland | 15 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 9-22 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 9 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 37 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 37 | 15-26 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 29 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 23 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Julian Strawther * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 33 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 4-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Pickett | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| DaRon Holmes II | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| KJ Simpson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter