Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.9% | 36.1% | -3.2 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +2 (109-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 37 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 34 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 34 | 9-15 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Peyton Watson | 22 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 22 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 32 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Deni Avdija * | 32 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 7-9 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Toumani Camara * | 30 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Donovan Clingan * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Shaedon Sharpe * | 24 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Jerami Grant | 31 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 7-7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Kris Murray | 29 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Robert Williams III | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Blake Wesley | 9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Duop Reath | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Rayan Rupert | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter