Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.3% | 92.7% | +14.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +17 (117-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard * | 33 | 7-20 | 2-10 | 6-6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 5 | - |
| Pascal Siakam * | 33 | 5-16 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 26 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 8-8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Jarace Walker * | 21 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Jackson * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Ben Sheppard | 22 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 18 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jay Huff | 15 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Cody Martin | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Monté Morris | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| RayJ Dennis | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 31 | 10-14 | 1-1 | 11-12 | 14 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 39 | - |
| Peyton Watson * | 27 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Pickett * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 23 | 6-13 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 21 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Spencer Jones | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Hunter Tyson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter