Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | +3.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +12 (125-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayo Dosunmu * | 38 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Julius Randle * | 32 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 9-11 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Rudy Gobert * | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Naz Reid | 24 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Bones Hyland | 23 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Anderson | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. | 13 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Jaylen Clark | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Julian Phillips | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joe Ingles | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joan Beringer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 9-23 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 37 | 9-15 | 1-4 | 8-10 | 12 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 39 | - |
| Spencer Jones * | 36 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 35 | 8-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 30 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 20 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 11 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 10 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter