Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.7% | 52.3% | +0.5 | ✗ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -11 (112-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 9-22 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 37 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 8-8 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 32 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 35 | 8-15 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Peyton Watson * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 29 | 6-8 | 5-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 30 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Spencer Jones | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle * | 38 | 9-17 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Anthony Edwards * | 37 | 8-23 | 0-8 | 10-12 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 34 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 32 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Rudy Gobert * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Naz Reid | 31 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Mike Conley | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jaylen Clark | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Rob Dillingham | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter