Miami Heat
2026 Team Stats (123 games)
114.7
PPG
118.6
Opp
+2.3
Margin
45.6%
FG%
35.1%
3P%
77.0%
FT%
44.5
RPG
26.2
APG
13.9
TO
114.2
Pace
118.4
AdjO
116.8
AdjD
#12
Rank
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo | 990 (#19) | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 997 (#19) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency | 978 (#25) | - |
| Margin | +5.3 (#13) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency | +1.3 (#17) | HCA +1.7 |
| Pythagorean | 0.529 (#15) | - |
| Efficiency | 0.529 (#14) | NetEff +1.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.535 (#13) | AdjO 100.6 | AdjD 99.4 |
| Log Adjusted | 0.535 (#13) | AdjO 100.4 | AdjD 99.2 |
| Points Off/Def | 0.537 (#12) | AdjO 118.4 | AdjD 116.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency | 0.516 (#18) | AdjO 119.7 | AdjD 119.0 |
| Core Ensemble | 0.539 (#18) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def |
| Recency Ensemble | 0.524 (#19) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def_recency |
| KenPom Kitchen Sink | 0.580 (#17) | - |
| Dynamic BT | 983 (#21) | HCA +45.0 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-22 | @ | ORL | L | 121 - 125 |
| 2025-10-25 | @ | MEM | W | 146 - 114 |
| 2025-10-26 | vs | NYK | W | 115 - 107 |
| 2025-10-28 | vs | CHA | W | 144 - 117 |
| 2025-10-31 | @ | SAS | L | 101 - 107 |
| 2025-11-03 | @ | LAL | L | 120 - 130 |
| 2025-11-04 | @ | LAC | W | 120 - 119 |
| 2025-11-06 | @ | DEN | L | 112 - 122 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | CHA | W | 126 - 108 |
| 2025-11-09 | vs | POR | W | 136 - 131 |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | CLE | W | 140 - 138 |
| 2025-11-13 | vs | CLE | L | 116 - 130 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | NYK | L | 132 - 140 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | NYK | W | 115 - 113 |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | GSW | W | 110 - 96 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | CHI | W | 143 - 107 |
| 2025-11-23 | @ | PHI | W | 127 - 117 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | DAL | W | 106 - 102 |
| 2025-11-27 | vs | MIL | W | 106 - 103 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | DET | L | 135 - 138 |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | LAC | W | 140 - 123 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | DAL | L | 108 - 118 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | ORL | L | 105 - 106 |
| 2025-12-07 | vs | SAC | L | 111 - 127 |
| 2025-12-09 | @ | ORL | L | 108 - 117 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | TOR | L | 96 - 106 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | BKN | W | 106 - 95 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | BOS | L | 116 - 129 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | NYK | L | 125 - 132 |
| 2025-12-24 | vs | TOR | L | 91 - 112 |
| 2025-12-27 | @ | ATL | W | 126 - 111 |
| 2025-12-28 | vs | IND | W | 142 - 116 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | DEN | W | 147 - 123 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | DET | W | 118 - 112 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | MIN | L | 115 - 125 |
| 2026-01-04 | vs | NOP | W | 125 - 106 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | MIN | L | 94 - 122 |
| 2026-01-11 | @ | IND | L | 99 - 123 |
| 2026-01-12 | @ | OKC | L | 112 - 124 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | PHX | W | 127 - 121 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | BOS | L | 114 - 119 |
| 2026-01-18 | vs | OKC | W | 122 - 120 |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | GSW | L | 112 - 135 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | SAC | W | 130 - 117 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | POR | L | 110 - 127 |
| 2026-01-25 | @ | UTA | W | 147 - 116 |
| 2026-01-26 | @ | PHX | W | 111 - 102 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | ORL | L | 124 - 133 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | CHI | W | 116 - 113 |
| 2026-02-01 | vs | CHI | W | 134 - 91 |
| 2026-02-01 | vs | CHI | L | 118 - 125 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | ATL | L | 115 - 127 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | BOS | L | 96 - 98 |
| 2026-02-08 | @ | WAS | W | 132 - 101 |
| 2026-02-10 | vs | UTA | L | 111 - 115 |
| 2026-02-12 | @ | NOP | W | 123 - 111 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | ATL | W | 128 - 97 |
| 2026-02-22 | vs | MEM | W | 136 - 120 |
| 2026-02-25 | @ | MIL | L | 117 - 128 |
| 2026-02-27 | @ | PHI | L | 117 - 124 |
| 2026-02-28 | vs | HOU | W | 115 - 105 |
| 2026-03-04 | vs | BKN | W | 124 - 98 |
| 2026-03-06 | vs | BKN | W | 126 - 110 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ | CHA | W | 128 - 120 |
| 2026-03-08 | vs | DET | W | 121 - 110 |
| 2026-03-10 | vs | WAS | W | 150 - 129 |
| 2026-03-12 | vs | MIL | W | 112 - 105 |
| 2026-03-15 | vs | ORL | L | 117 - 121 |
| 2026-03-17 | @ | CHA | L | 106 - 136 |
| 2026-03-20 | vs | LAL | L | 126 - 134 |
| 2026-03-22 | @ | HOU | L | 122 - 123 |
| 2026-03-23 | vs | SAS | L | 111 - 136 |
| 2026-03-25 | @ | CLE | W | 120 - 103 |
| 2026-03-27 | @ | CLE | L | 128 - 149 |
| 2026-03-29 | @ | IND | L | 118 - 135 |
| 2026-03-30 | vs | PHI | W | 119 - 109 |
| 2026-04-01 | vs | BOS | L | 129 - 147 |
| 2026-04-04 | vs | WAS | W | 152 - 136 |
| 2026-04-07 | @ | TOR | L | 95 - 121 |
| 2026-04-09 | @ | TOR | L | 114 - 128 |
| 2026-04-10 | @ | WAS | W | 140 - 117 |
| 2026-04-12 | vs | ATL | W | 143 - 117 |
| 2026-04-14 | @ | CHA | L | 126 - 127 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles, with four dividers separating the position buckets.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell | - | 65 | 26.2 | 19.6 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 13.9 | 10.5 | - | - | - | 47.1 | 38.1 | 82.7 | - | 60.9 | 55.8 |
| Bam Adebayo | - | 82 | 28.6 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 14.0 | 16.0 | - | - | - | 44.3 | 31.8 | 77.8 | - | 55.2 | 49.9 |
| Andrew Wiggins | - | 73 | 28.3 | 14.7 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 11.5 | 10.9 | - | - | - | 47.7 | 41.6 | 78.8 | - | 58.8 | 56.1 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | - | 81 | 26.2 | 14.4 | 4.7 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 11.5 | 11.1 | - | - | - | 50.5 | 31.7 | 76.6 | - | 56.9 | 53.8 |
| Kel'el Ware | - | 79 | 21.6 | 10.9 | 9.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 8.4 | 13.4 | - | - | - | 52.9 | 39.2 | 74.7 | - | 61.5 | 60.0 |
| Tyler Herro | - | 67 | 15.7 | 10.4 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 6.6 | - | - | - | 47.7 | 38.2 | 92.1 | - | 60.0 | 55.8 |
| Pelle Larsson | - | 79 | 23.2 | 10.2 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 7.1 | 8.8 | - | - | - | 49.6 | 32.1 | 79.5 | - | 60.5 | 55.1 |
| Davion Mitchell | - | 75 | 26.9 | 9.1 | 2.5 | 6.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 7.4 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 48.9 | 39.7 | 63.6 | - | 58.1 | 57.3 |
| Simone Fontecchio | - | 74 | 15.4 | 8.1 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 6.4 | 5.9 | - | - | - | 41.2 | 37.5 | 84.3 | - | 57.9 | 54.2 |
| Nikola Jović | - | 58 | 13.5 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 5.4 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 36.5 | 26.8 | 68.3 | - | 47.9 | 43.7 |
| Dru Smith | - | 71 | 15.6 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 4.6 | 6.9 | - | - | - | 41.5 | 29.5 | 82.9 | - | 53.2 | 47.4 |
| Kasparas Jakučionis | - | 79 | 11.6 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 43.0 | 42.6 | 87.9 | - | 61.6 | 57.0 |
| Keshad Johnson | - | 58 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 1.9 | - | - | - | 48.6 | 29.5 | 72.4 | - | 57.7 | 54.8 |
| Myron Gardner | - | 73 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 48.0 | 40.6 | 73.1 | - | 60.6 | 58.5 |
| Trevor Keels | - | 8 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 22.2 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Jahmir Young | - | 53 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 48.3 | 46.0 |
| Vladislav Goldin | - | 52 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 78.8 | 75.0 |
| Terry Rozier | - | 44 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG