Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | β |
| Margin | 20.8% | 79.2% | +7.4 | β (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | β |
Actual: New York Knicks +7 (132-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell * | 35 | 7-17 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Kel'el Ware * | 34 | 11-15 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 32 | - |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Davion Mitchell * | 31 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 24 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 33 | 9-15 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Dru Smith | 17 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 17 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Kasparas JakuΔionis | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 40 | 9-14 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Jalen Brunson * | 38 | 15-26 | 6-13 | 11-11 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 32 | - |
| OG Anunoby * | 33 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Josh Hart * | 33 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mitchell Robinson | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Tyler Kolek | 22 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Clarkson | 17 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Mohamed Diawara | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter