Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.0% | 68.0% | +4.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +5 (136-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toumani Camara * | 39 | 5-17 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Deni Avdija * | 36 | 12-21 | 3-9 | 6-7 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 29 | - |
| Jrue Holiday * | 34 | 6-19 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Shaedon Sharpe * | 28 | 9-19 | 1-8 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Donovan Clingan * | 20 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Jerami Grant | 22 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Kris Murray | 21 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Sidy Cissoko | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Duop Reath | 11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Robert Williams III | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 33 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Norman Powell * | 30 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Pelle Larsson * | 27 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Davion Mitchell * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Kel'el Ware * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Nikola Jović | 31 | 10-16 | 3-7 | 6-8 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 25 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 29 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Dru Smith | 22 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 17 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
* = starter