Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.0% | 63.0% | +2.9 | ✓ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +17 (140-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawhi Leonard * | 30 | 12-21 | 3-6 | 9-10 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 26 | - |
| Ivica Zubac * | 30 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| John Collins * | 25 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kris Dunn * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| James Harden * | 19 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Kobe Sanders | 25 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Nicolas Batum | 20 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kobe Brown | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Chris Paul | 14 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Cam Christie | 14 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Yanic Konan Niederhäuser | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Miller | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 32 | 9-14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Davion Mitchell * | 31 | 6-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Bam Adebayo * | 31 | 10-17 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 30 | - |
| Norman Powell * | 31 | 12-18 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Tyler Herro * | 29 | 8-15 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 20 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 20 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kel'el Ware | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Dru Smith | 16 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Pelle Larsson | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Nikola Jović | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Myron Gardner | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kasparas Jakučionis | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter