Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.7% | 52.3% | +0.5 | ✗ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -10 (115-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 38 | 10-19 | 2-8 | 11-14 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 21 | - |
| Julius Randle * | 38 | 10-17 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 33 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Rudy Gobert * | 32 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 30 | 5-13 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Naz Reid | 25 | 10-15 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 21 | - |
| Bones Hyland | 20 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Mike Conley | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jaylen Clark | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 34 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Davion Mitchell * | 33 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Kel'el Ware * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 28 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Norman Powell * | 24 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Nikola Jović | 27 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Kasparas Jakučionis | 17 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 15 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Dru Smith | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Myron Gardner | 4 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
* = starter