Model Predictions
| Model | New York Knicks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.5% | 33.5% | -3.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +8 (115-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 37 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| OG Anunoby * | 36 | 4-13 | 4-12 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 35 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Jalen Brunson * | 35 | 14-26 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 37 | 23 | - |
| Ariel Hukporti * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Josh Hart | 28 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Guerschon Yabusele | 15 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Landry Shamet | 15 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jordan Clarkson | 14 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Kolek | 9 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 38 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Norman Powell * | 31 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 12-12 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 26 | - |
| Davion Mitchell * | 23 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Kel'el Ware * | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 26 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Nikola Jović | 24 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 18 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Dru Smith | 18 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Pelle Larsson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter