Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | β |
| Margin | 89.6% | 10.4% | -11.8 | β (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | β |
Actual: Washington Wizards -23 (117-140). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 38 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 25 | - |
| Kasparas JakuΔionis * | 30 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio * | 26 | 8-10 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 22 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Kel'el Ware * | 21 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 36 | 10-14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Keshad Johnson | 29 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Pelle Larsson | 26 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Myron Gardner | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Vladislav Goldin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jahmir Young | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trevor Keels | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Reese * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Gill * | 35 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Bub Carrington * | 33 | 11-15 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 19 | - |
| Leaky Black * | 31 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Bilal Coulibaly * | 22 | 9-16 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Jamir Watkins | 30 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Will Riley | 28 | 7-17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 2 | - |
| Sharife Cooper | 21 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
* = starter