Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.2% | 67.8% | +4.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +10 (119-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey * | 43 | 7-20 | 2-9 | 7-7 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Joel Embiid * | 34 | 10-25 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 9 | - |
| Paul George * | 34 | 7-18 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | - |
| VJ Edgecombe * | 29 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Dominick Barlow * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Quentin Grimes | 31 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 30 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Adem Bona | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Justin Edwards | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 41 | 12-24 | 3-10 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 13 | - |
| Bam Adebayo * | 41 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 12-13 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 33 | - |
| Pelle Larsson * | 36 | 8-13 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 35 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Davion Mitchell * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 31 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Kel'el Ware | 13 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Dru Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter