Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 17.7% | 82.3% | +8.5 | ✗ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -7 (118-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayo Dosunmu * | 36 | 11-16 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 27 | - |
| Isaac Okoro * | 34 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Patrick Williams * | 34 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Matas Buzelis * | 33 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Huerter * | 21 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Dalen Terry | 28 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jevon Carter | 20 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Julian Phillips | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Yuki Kawamura | 11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Lachlan Olbrich | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 36 | 7-18 | 1-8 | 6-9 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 32 | 6-16 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 3 | - |
| Pelle Larsson * | 32 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 25 | - |
| Kasparas Jakučionis * | 27 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Myron Gardner * | 22 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 32 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Dru Smith | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 17 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Nikola Jović | 15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Kel'el Ware | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter