Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.6% | 47.4% | -0.6 | ✗ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +17 (127-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 37 | 13-24 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 21 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 31 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Pelle Larsson * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Norman Powell * | 27 | 7-15 | 0-7 | 4-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Kasparas Jakučionis * | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 25 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 24 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Dru Smith | 20 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Nikola Jović | 16 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Myron Gardner | 15 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toumani Camara * | 35 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Shaedon Sharpe * | 33 | 11-21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 14 | - |
| Donovan Clingan * | 26 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Jrue Holiday * | 18 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Deni Avdija * | 17 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Caleb Love | 33 | 8-19 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Jerami Grant | 23 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Robert Williams III | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Sidy Cissoko | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Rayan Rupert | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter