Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 10.4% | 89.6% | +11.8 | ✗ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -4 (111-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Bailey * | 36 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Isaiah Collier * | 34 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 24 | 7-19 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 24 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 24 | 5-14 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Filipowski | 23 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 22 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Cody Williams | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| John Konchar | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 37 | 8-18 | 1-5 | 6-10 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 35 | 9-18 | 4-11 | 4-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Davion Mitchell * | 30 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio * | 18 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Kel'el Ware * | 14 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Kasparas Jakučionis | 32 | 7-12 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 30 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Nikola Jović | 17 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dru Smith | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Myron Gardner | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter