Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.8% | 47.2% | -0.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -10 (117-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 32 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Pelle Larsson * | 31 | 2-13 | 0-6 | 2-5 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Davion Mitchell * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | - |
| Norman Powell * | 29 | 11-18 | 4-7 | 6-9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 20 | - |
| Kel'el Ware * | 26 | 7-13 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 25 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 32 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Keshad Johnson | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 18 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Dru Smith | 16 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Myron Gardner | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jahmir Young | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Drummond * | 38 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 27 | - |
| Tyrese Maxey * | 36 | 10-23 | 5-14 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 12 | - |
| Quentin Grimes * | 34 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Justin Edwards * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Paul George * | 20 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Trendon Watford | 26 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Jared McCain | 25 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Dominick Barlow | 20 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jabari Walker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Hunter Sallis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Johni Broome | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter