Model Predictions
| Model | New York Knicks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.5% | 33.5% | -3.8 | ✗ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +2 (115-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landry Shamet * | 39 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Mikal Bridges * | 39 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Miles McBride * | 38 | 10-23 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 5 | - |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 32 | 7-19 | 1-7 | 7-7 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Mitchell Robinson * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Josh Hart | 34 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Jordan Clarkson | 26 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Guerschon Yabusele | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Mohamed Diawara | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 32 | 3-15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Davion Mitchell * | 32 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Norman Powell * | 31 | 9-20 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 2 | - |
| Kel'el Ware * | 30 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 26 | - |
| Pelle Larsson * | 26 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 32 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 20 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Dru Smith | 15 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Nikola Jović | 14 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Keshad Johnson | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter