Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.3% | 48.7% | -0.3 | ✗ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +18 (126-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 41 | 4-16 | 0-5 | 6-6 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Kon Knueppel * | 40 | 9-23 | 5-13 | 7-7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Tre Mann * | 35 | 7-24 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Sion James * | 32 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner * | 27 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Moussa Diabaté | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Liam McNeeley | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| KJ Simpson | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Pat Connaughton | 9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 36 | 9-16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Davion Mitchell * | 32 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Kel'el Ware * | 29 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Norman Powell * | 27 | 10-20 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 10 | - |
| Pelle Larsson * | 26 | 8-11 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 32 | 8-15 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Nikola Jović | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Dru Smith | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter