Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.8% | 14.2% | -9.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets -11 (95-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 32 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Norman Powell * | 32 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Bam Adebayo * | 31 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Kel'el Ware * | 30 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 28 | - |
| Davion Mitchell * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 29 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Dru Smith | 24 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 22 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kasparas Jakučionis | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nic Claxton * | 34 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 30 | - |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 33 | 10-24 | 5-14 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 12 | - |
| Terance Mann * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Egor Dëmin * | 27 | 5-18 | 3-12 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | -2 | - |
| Noah Clowney * | 26 | 2-13 | 0-9 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Danny Wolf | 19 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Tyrese Martin | 18 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Ziaire Williams | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 13 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Wilson | 12 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Drake Powell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter