Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | β |
| Margin | 52.8% | 47.2% | -0.6 | β (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | β |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +7 (124-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 36 | 10-20 | 4-8 | 5-8 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 26 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 35 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Pelle Larsson * | 33 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Davion Mitchell * | 24 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Norman Powell * | 10 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Herro | 31 | 9-18 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 30 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Kasparas JakuΔionis | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Kel'el Ware | 12 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VJ Edgecombe * | 39 | 8-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Tyrese Maxey * | 37 | 9-26 | 5-12 | 5-5 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 22 | - |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 34 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Dominick Barlow * | 31 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Joel Embiid * | 31 | 8-20 | 2-6 | 8-9 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Quentin Grimes | 21 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Cameron Payne | 16 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Adem Bona | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Trendon Watford | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Jabari Walker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter