Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.7% | 54.3% | +0.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +9 (117-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Mitchell * | 37 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 35 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Tyler Herro * | 34 | 7-17 | 0-6 | 6-7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Norman Powell * | 34 | 8-19 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 24 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Kel'el Ware | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Pelle Larsson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Dru Smith | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 7 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 38 | 14-24 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 24 | - |
| Anthony Black * | 34 | 5-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Paolo Banchero * | 31 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Jalen Suggs * | 31 | 7-13 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 30 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Tristan da Silva | 27 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Goga Bitadze | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jonathan Isaac | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter