Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.8% | 79.2% | +7.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Knicks +8 (140-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 35 | 6-18 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Kel'el Ware * | 34 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Davion Mitchell * | 33 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Norman Powell * | 32 | 12-22 | 8-15 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 21 | - |
| Pelle Larsson * | 24 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 34 | 9-20 | 1-2 | 4-8 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 14 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Dru Smith | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Nikola Jović | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Keshad Johnson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 42 | 6-21 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 38 | 13-26 | 6-14 | 7-9 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 29 | - |
| Miles McBride * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Mitchell Robinson * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - |
| OG Anunoby * | 5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Landry Shamet | 37 | 12-19 | 6-12 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 21 | - |
| Josh Hart | 33 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 24 | - |
| Jordan Clarkson | 33 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 9-11 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Guerschon Yabusele | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ariel Hukporti | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter