Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.6% | 14.4% | -9.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -13 (117-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell * | 30 | 8-16 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 7 | - |
| Bam Adebayo * | 30 | 8-15 | 4-5 | 5-7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 23 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 29 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Pelle Larsson * | 26 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Davion Mitchell * | 19 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 33 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 19 | 5-11 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Nikola Jović | 19 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Kasparas Jakučionis | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Myron Gardner | 14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 34 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 10-10 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 31 | 9-14 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Zach LaVine * | 22 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Maxime Raynaud * | 17 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Malik Monk | 29 | 6-13 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Nique Clifford | 24 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Dylan Cardwell | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 19 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Domantas Sabonis | 16 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
* = starter