Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 8.1% | 91.9% | +13.4 | ✗ (29.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -16 (111-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LaVine * | 39 | 12-24 | 8-13 | 10-11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 25 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 39 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Keegan Murray * | 32 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Maxime Raynaud * | 25 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Nique Clifford | 18 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Malik Monk | 17 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Precious Achiuwa | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Drew Eubanks | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kel'el Ware * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Norman Powell * | 26 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 26 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Bam Adebayo * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Dru Smith * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 35 | 9-15 | 1-1 | 8-12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Nikola Jović | 30 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 25 | 8-14 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Keshad Johnson | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jahmir Young | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter