Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.8% | 29.2% | -4.9 | ✓ (31.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls -36 (107-143). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 29 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 8-10 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Kel'el Ware * | 27 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Pelle Larsson * | 26 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Norman Powell * | 24 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 5-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Davion Mitchell * | 23 | 7-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Keshad Johnson | 29 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 25 | 3-12 | 1-10 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 23 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Dru Smith | 18 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Jahmir Young | 6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Myron Gardner | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayo Dosunmu * | 32 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Josh Giddey * | 31 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Nikola Vučević * | 20 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Matas Buzelis * | 18 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Isaac Okoro * | 16 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Jalen Smith | 24 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Jevon Carter | 18 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Patrick Williams | 18 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Julian Phillips | 18 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tre Jones | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Dalen Terry | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Huerter | 9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter