Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.7% | 18.3% | -8.2 | ✓ (22.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz -31 (116-147). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 31 | 8-19 | 4-10 | 6-6 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 26 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Pelle Larsson * | 25 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Norman Powell * | 24 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 7-10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Kasparas Jakučionis * | 16 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 27 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Nikola Jović | 25 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 8-11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Dru Smith | 25 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 23 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Myron Gardner | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Keshad Johnson | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyonte George * | 36 | 6-19 | 0-8 | 7-8 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 31 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Cody Williams * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Ace Bailey * | 28 | 6-15 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Svi Mykhailiuk * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Collier | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 23 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Filipowski | 15 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Anderson | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter