Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.0% | 53.0% | +0.7 | ✗ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: LA Clippers -1 (119-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Mitchell * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 31 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Bam Adebayo * | 30 | 10-18 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Norman Powell * | 28 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Pelle Larsson * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 25 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Nikola Jović | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Kel'el Ware | 17 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 16 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Dru Smith | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 38 | 8-15 | 6-10 | 7-7 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 23 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 37 | 10-21 | 2-8 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Ivica Zubac * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 27 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Bradley Beal * | 20 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| John Collins | 25 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Kris Dunn | 23 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Brook Lopez | 14 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Chris Paul | 13 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Nicolas Batum | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter