Model Predictions
| Model | Brooklyn Nets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | β |
| Margin | 8.0% | 92.0% | +13.5 | β (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | β |
Actual: Miami Heat +26 (124-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nic Claxton * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Noah Clowney * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 26 | 3-17 | 0-9 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -2 | - |
| Terance Mann * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Nolan Traore * | 22 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | -2 | - |
| Ben Saraf | 25 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Ziaire Williams | 22 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Danny Wolf | 20 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Josh Minott | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Grant Nelson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jalen Wilson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ochai Agbaji | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 34 | 11-24 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 27 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Tyler Herro * | 27 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Davion Mitchell * | 25 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Pelle Larsson * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Kel'el Ware | 29 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 27 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Kasparas JakuΔionis | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 20 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Myron Gardner | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jahmir Young | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter