Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.6% | 10.4% | -11.8 | ✓ (19.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -31 (101-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 28 | 9-15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Norman Powell * | 25 | 5-12 | 5-10 | 6-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Davion Mitchell * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 23 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Myron Gardner * | 21 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Kel'el Ware | 29 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Kasparas Jakučionis | 25 | 8-10 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 23 | 2-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 19 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Jahmir Young | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Dru Smith | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Nikola Jović | 5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bilal Coulibaly * | 33 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Bub Carrington * | 28 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Alex Sarr * | 25 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Justin Champagnie * | 24 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Kyshawn George * | 19 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Jamir Watkins | 33 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Sharife Cooper | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Will Riley | 20 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Tristan Vukcevic | 19 | 5-11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Keshon Gilbert | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter