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Miami Heat

Also known as: Miami Heat
Program History

2021 Team Stats (86 games)

107.9
PPG
108.0
Opp
+0.1
Margin
46.3%
FG%
35.7%
3P%
79.4%
FT%
42.6
RPG
25.9
APG
13.7
TO
107.5
Pace
107.8
AdjO
108.4
AdjD
#20
Rank

Model Outputs

2020-2021
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 992 (#67) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1061 (#45) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.8 More → +5.9 (#15) HCA +1.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.465 (#21) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -1.2 More → 0.469 (#21) NetEff -1.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.5 More → 0.485 (#20) AdjNet -0.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.5 More → 0.485 (#20) AdjNet -0.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 107.8 | AdjD 108.4 More → 0.486 (#20) AdjO 107.8 | AdjD 108.4

2021 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2020-12-24 @ ORL L 107 - 113
2020-12-25 vs NOP W 111 - 98
2020-12-30 vs MIL L 97 - 144
2020-12-31 vs MIL W 119 - 108
2021-01-02 @ DAL L 83 - 93
2021-01-05 vs OKC W 118 - 90
2021-01-07 vs BOS L 105 - 107
2021-01-10 @ WAS W 128 - 124
2021-01-13 @ PHI L 134 - 137
2021-01-15 @ PHI L 108 - 125
2021-01-17 vs DET L 100 - 120
2021-01-19 vs DET W 113 - 107
2021-01-21 @ TOR W 111 - 102
2021-01-23 @ TOR L 81 - 101
2021-01-24 @ BKN L 124 - 128
2021-01-26 @ BKN L 85 - 98
2021-01-28 vs DEN L 82 - 109
2021-01-29 vs LAC L 105 - 109
2021-01-31 vs SAC W 105 - 104
2021-02-02 vs CHA L 121 - 129
2021-02-04 vs WAS L 100 - 103
2021-02-06 vs WAS W 122 - 95
2021-02-07 @ NYK W 109 - 103
2021-02-10 vs NYK W 98 - 96
2021-02-12 @ HOU W 101 - 94
2021-02-14 @ UTA L 94 - 112
2021-02-16 @ LAC L 118 - 125
2021-02-18 @ GSW L 112 - 120
2021-02-19 @ SAC W 118 - 110
2021-02-21 @ LAL W 96 - 94
2021-02-23 @ OKC W 108 - 94
2021-02-25 vs TOR W 116 - 108
2021-02-27 vs UTA W 124 - 116
2021-03-01 vs ATL W 109 - 99
2021-03-03 vs ATL L 80 - 94
2021-03-05 @ NOP W 103 - 93
2021-03-12 vs ORL W 111 - 103
2021-03-13 @ CHI W 101 - 90
2021-03-14 @ ORL W 102 - 97
2021-03-17 vs CLE W 113 - 98
2021-03-18 @ MEM L 85 - 89
2021-03-20 vs IND L 110 - 137
2021-03-21 vs IND L 106 - 109
2021-03-24 vs PHX L 100 - 110
2021-03-25 vs POR L 122 - 125
2021-03-27 @ CHA L 105 - 110
2021-03-29 @ NYK W 98 - 88
2021-03-31 @ IND W 92 - 87
2021-04-02 vs GSW W 116 - 109
2021-04-04 vs CLE W 115 - 101
2021-04-07 vs MEM L 112 - 124
2021-04-08 vs LAL W 110 - 104
2021-04-12 @ POR W 107 - 98
2021-04-14 @ PHX L 86 - 106
2021-04-15 @ DEN L 106 - 123
2021-04-17 @ MIN L 111 - 119
2021-04-18 vs BKN W 109 - 107
2021-04-20 vs HOU W 113 - 91
2021-04-22 @ SAS W 107 - 87
2021-04-23 @ ATL L 103 - 118
2021-04-25 vs CHI W 106 - 101
2021-04-27 vs CHI L 102 - 110
2021-04-29 vs SAS W 116 - 111
2021-05-02 @ CLE W 124 - 107
2021-05-03 @ CHA W 121 - 111
2021-05-05 vs DAL L 113 - 127
2021-05-08 vs MIN W 121 - 112
2021-05-09 @ BOS W 130 - 124
2021-05-11 @ BOS W 129 - 121
2021-05-13 vs PHI W 106 - 94
2021-05-16 @ MIL L 108 - 122
2021-05-17 @ DET W 120 - 107

2021 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jimmy Butler SF 52 33.1 21.5 6.9 7.1 2.1 0.3 0.0 14.2 23.7 - - - 49.7 24.5 86.3 - 60.6 51.4
Bam Adebayo Bam Adebayo PF 64 33.0 18.7 9.0 5.4 1.2 1.0 0.0 12.5 22.8 - - - 57.1 25.0 79.9 - 62.7 57.2
Tyler Herro Tyler Herro SG 54 29.9 15.1 4.9 3.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 12.9 11.5 - - - 43.9 36.0 80.3 - 54.3 51.6
Kendrick Nunn Kendrick Nunn SG 56 28.9 14.6 3.2 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 11.8 9.9 - - - 48.5 38.1 93.3 - 59.6 57.8
Goran Dragic Goran Dragic SG 50 26.3 13.4 3.3 4.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 11.1 10.9 - - - 43.3 37.3 82.8 - 55.3 51.5
Duncan Robinson Duncan Robinson SG 72 30.9 13.1 3.5 1.8 0.6 0.3 0.0 10.0 9.2 - - - 43.9 40.8 82.7 - 62.8 61.4
Victor Oladipo Victor Oladipo PG 4 27.5 12.0 3.5 3.5 1.8 0.5 0.0 10.8 10.5 - - - 37.2 23.5 66.7 - 47.1 41.9
Kelly Olynyk Kelly Olynyk PF 43 26.3 10.0 6.0 2.1 1.0 0.6 0.0 8.7 11.0 - - - 43.1 31.8 77.5 - 54.9 53.3
Trevor Ariza Trevor Ariza SF 30 27.5 9.4 4.8 1.8 1.0 0.6 0.0 8.0 9.6 - - - 41.1 35.0 77.3 - 54.2 51.5
Avery Bradley Avery Bradley SG 10 20.6 8.5 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.6 5.9 - - - 47.0 42.1 77.8 - 60.7 59.1
Dewayne Dedmon Dewayne Dedmon - 16 12.7 7.1 5.4 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.0 4.1 10.1 - - - 70.8 20.0 74.1 - 73.5 71.5
Max Strus Max Strus - 39 12.5 6.1 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.8 3.3 - - - 45.5 33.8 66.7 - 59.7 58.8
Nemanja Bjelica Nemanja Bjelica SF 11 13.7 5.0 2.5 1.8 0.6 0.3 0.0 4.2 6.0 - - - 43.5 37.0 55.6 - 55.0 54.3
Precious Achiuwa Precious Achiuwa C 61 11.6 5.0 3.4 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.0 3.7 5.9 - - - 54.4 0.0 50.9 - 55.0 54.4
Gabe Vincent Gabe Vincent SG 50 12.6 4.8 1.1 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 4.7 3.1 - - - 37.8 30.9 87.0 - 49.8 47.6
Andre Iguodala Andre Iguodala SF 63 20.7 4.4 3.5 2.3 0.9 0.5 0.0 4.0 7.6 - - - 38.2 32.8 65.8 - 51.7 50.2
Udonis Haslem Udonis Haslem - 1 2.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Meyers Leonard Meyers Leonard C 3 9.3 3.3 2.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 4.0 - - - 42.9 42.9 50.0 - 63.5 64.3
Chris Silva Chris Silva - 11 7.0 2.7 2.3 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.0 1.2 4.9 - - - 69.2 100.0 73.3 - 76.5 73.1
KZ Okpala KZ Okpala SF 37 11.6 2.5 1.8 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.0 2.6 2.8 - - - 37.5 24.0 53.3 - 44.8 43.8
Maurice Harkless Maurice Harkless SF 11 10.7 1.4 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.0 1.2 2.5 - - - 38.5 45.5 0.0 - 54.0 57.7

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG