Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.3% | 52.7% | +0.6 | ✗ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -4 (105-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Jackson * | 36 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Nicolas Batum * | 31 | 6-12 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard * | 27 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Terance Mann * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka * | 26 | 4-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Lou Williams | 28 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Marcus Morris Sr. | 26 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Ivica Zubac | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Amir Coffey | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 34 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 32 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 32 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 31 | 8-21 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 24 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 25 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 20 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - |
* = starter